ASK ELIZABETH: STATE OF THE MARKET

ASK ELIZABETH: STATE OF THE MARKET

The Fed, Mortgage Rates & Tariffs

As anticipated, the Fed left rates unchanged in last week’s May 7th announcement. The Fed’s comments didn’t move the markets significantly, yet interest rates ended the week slightly higher than where they began. Currently, 30-year fixed mortgage rates are hovering in the high 6% range.

The Federal Reserve continues to emphasize uncertainty in the economic outlook, largely driven by changes in government policy. As a result, the Fed is expected to maintain its “wait and see” stance to better assess evolving conditions. Most investors anticipate a rate cut at the Fed’s July meeting; thus, mortgage rates are likely to remain relatively unchanged in the coming months.

Market attention remains focused on trade developments. The newly announced agreement with the UK was well-received by the stock market, and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and China also provided a boost. These trade dynamics could play a key role in shaping interest rate trends in the weeks ahead.

National Real Estate Market 

April market data from the National Association of Realtors shows that 2025 home sales are trailing 2024 figures by 2.4% year over year, while home prices have risen by 2.7%. National inventory levels have increased 20% year over year year. Market conditions, however, vary significantly by region. In the Southwest, inventory levels increased 37%, well above the national average. In the Northeast—particularly New York—inventory levels remain low and price appreciation increased 7.7%, in contrast to just 0.6% in the South. Overall on a national level, the housing market is gradually shifting away from a strong seller’s market toward a more balanced, buyer-friendly environment—though the Northeast remains the exception, and continues to favor sellers.

The Rakela Team
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